Thursday, September 9, 2010

怎样选股? (14) 现金是王 Cash is King


By: 小旺子

一家公司盈利年年成长,但却面临倒闭的危机,只因被拖欠的债务没收回来,设有现金周转,故说现金是王。

另一家公司也是利年年成长,债务高涨,突然暴发假账风波,皆因,为欺骗投资者,故意报大销售额。

这一切,又得劳动我们的照妖镜,现金流动表。

重温一下,

现金流动表Cash Flow Statement 的演算为
净增加/减少现金数值 Net Increase/Decrease in Cash Flow
=
营业活动现金流Cash Flows from Operating Activities
(扣旧,债务人,债权人,存货Depreciation, Debtor, Creditor, Inventory)
+
投资活动现金流Cash Flows from Investing Activities
(房地产,机器 Building, Land, Equipment)
+
融资活动现金流Cash Flows from Financing Activities
(股息,债务,贷款Dividend, Debt, Loan)

我们首先看净增加/减少现金数值 Net Increase/Decrease in Cash Flow ,一般上若是增加,是健全成长,若为减少我们便得小心,

基本上赤字预算如下 GREEN PACKET BERHAD 不断发展扩充其 WI-MAX 发射站的建设,故有负现金流动 (RM-26,685,000)。 但其银行现金还充足RM 208,001,000,应付其营业活动 (RM-20,921,000),但投资话动却比较吃紧 (RM-139,180.000)

接下来,一般上都会以

营业活动现金流Cash Flows from Operating Activities > 收入 Net Income
来检定公司的收入有否转换为现金。

最后,投资者所关心的公司是否有能力分花红 Dividend,这得看公司的现金有多少,

现成流动现金Free Cash Flow
= Net Income + Depreciation/Amortization – Change in Working Capital – Capital Expenditures
= Cash Flows from Operating Activities – Capital Expenditures

以海鸥集团为例,RM53,764,552 – RM 9,243,668 = RM 44,520,884,总现金为 RM73,265,890, 可谓现金充足,故公司有充够能资本回购,买自己的股票并分发花红。

No comments:

Post a Comment